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Karma

Trading vs Fortune-telling

by Karma on February 10, 2011

The masses love forecasts. And that’s exactly where guru analysts fill in.

To talk about state-of-the-market requires research skills and geeky stuff; to give a forecast all you need is oratory skills.

To talk about state-of-the-market requires humbleness to quote factual data; by forecasting you stand a chance to become a news sensation.

Here are same famous forecasts:

“Everything that can be invented has been invented.”
Charles H. Duell, Director of U.S. Patent Office, 1899

“Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?“

Harry Warner, Warner Bros. Pictures, c. 1927

“Sensible and responsible women do not want to vote.”

Grover Cleveland, 1905 [click to continue…]

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Coding for Support & Resistance

by Karma on November 11, 2010

Click To Enlarge

While there are innumerable software around to automate Technical Analysis and trading strategy… the chances are you won’t be able to find a ready-made code for the most basic concept in Technical Analysis: Support & Resistance.

Most codes around use zig-zag style function which has several flaws in it’s mathematical properties.

A proper code, which implements atleast basic Technical Analysis should have these five parts:

  1. Identification of all significant highs/lows
  2. Marking a price band around each significant hi/lo
  3. Marking a price band for important Fibonacci retracements
  4. Finding confluence of the bands marked in step 3  & 4
  5. Ranking each confluence level as L1, L2, L3,L4  etc. (resistance turns into support and vice-versa)

There are several nuances involved in each step.

The observation during this exercise that Support & Resistance levels actually exists provides the trader a premise about price behavior; this can than be developed as an edge.

Comments welcome.

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Common-sense Approach: Trading for a Living

by Karma on September 30, 2010

Well, let’s break this into two parts- 1. Meaning of Trading For a Living and,  2. A common sense guide to achieve this goal. No technical, high-tech, scientific  or scholarly discussion; just something which a beginner/layman shall be able to grasp.

A google search on same pukes up more than 28 million results… so is trading for a living so straightforward to be widely pursued?

Meaning of Trading for a Living

Literally this implies earning enough money from trading in the markets to substitute a regular 9-5 job or business. Hence Trading should be reported as primary source of income at Tax Filing. In other terms making sufficient money to pay off lifestyle expenses on a regular basis. [click to continue…]

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Dynamics of a breakout in terms of Market Profile

by Karma on September 22, 2010

Click on the attached flow chart to see the dynamics of a breakout from support/resistance in terms of market profile.

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Relative Risk in Financial Instruments Worldiwde

by Karma September 22, 2010

The table below gives the relative volatility of financial instruments across major assets and geography.  It is a simple visual comparison for relative volatility with comparable parameters eg. emerging versus developed. For volatility scale, 5 is highest and 1 is lowest. STOCKS                                                            [...]

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Google’s state-of-the-art trading floor

by Karma September 9, 2010

The search company has now started its own trading floor, to manage their internal cash reserve of around $26.5 billion. Google currently has the 3rd largest cash reserves of any company, after Microsoft and Cisco. The trading floor at Google opened up in January this year. The investment team has more than 30 members, with [...]

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Resources for Technical Strategies

by Karma August 23, 2010

Someone who has been into the markets for 5+ years is likely to have gone through a large number of trading books. There are 1000+ titles from Wiley Finance alone. Here we will try to maintain a directory of the best 2-3 books on the a particular topic. Technical Approach Evidence-Based Technical Analysis by David [...]

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Price movements which are random, ineffective, manipulative etc.

by Karma July 30, 2010

The adjective “random” is perhaps the most misused word pertaining to stock market. Although it is rarely the definition given, it is indeed something “made, done, happening, or chosen without method or conscious decision”. Carl Menger begins his introduction to economics by: “All things are subject to the law of cause and effect. This great [...]

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List Of Private Equity Funds in India

by Karma July 27, 2010

In reference to this list, please also see SEBI’s List of registered Venture Capital Funds Aavishkaar India Micro Venture Capital Fund http://www.aavishkaar.org/ Anandrathi Real Estate Fund http://www.rathi.com/ Avendus Advisors Pvt. Ltd. http://www.avendus.com/ Baring Private Equity Partners India Ltd. http://www.bpepindia.com/ BTS Investment Advisors Pvt. Ltd. http://www.btsadvisors.com/tos.htm Canbank Venture Capital Fund Limited http://www.canbankventure.com ChrysCapital http://www.chryscapital.com Citi Alternative [...]

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How many traders does it take to change a light bulb?

by Karma July 24, 2010

Question: How many share market traders does it take to change a light bulb? One hundred. Ninety nine search frantically for the bulb, one trader changes it.

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